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Route turbulence forecast

London Santiago

Turbulence forecast for flights from London Heathrow Airport (LHR) to Comodoro Arturo Merino Benítez International Airport (SCL).

Jet-stream + mountain-wave corridor
Distance
11,653 km
6,292 nm
Typical duration
14h 03m
Ground-speed estimate
Cruise
FL410
41,000 ft
Jet stream
High - long mid-latitude crossing

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Get a segment-by-segment turbulence forecast for any scheduled flight from LHR to SCL, with live wind and pilot reports.

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What to expect on this route

Westbound (usually into prevailing winds) · Great-circle bearing -126°

Jet-stream exposure on this corridor is significant. Long mid-latitude legs mean clear-air turbulence is the dominant source of bumps, typically encountered at cruise altitude. The route crosses or passes near the Andes, which can generate mountain-wave turbulence downwind when upper-level winds are strong. At tropical latitudes, convective turbulence from thunderstorms is the main driver - pilots generally route around storm cells, but afternoon/evening flights encounter more build-up than morning departures. Westbound aircraft typically fly against the prevailing winds, adding flight time. Captains often pick altitudes that avoid the strongest headwinds, which can also mean picking cleaner-air altitudes.

Mountain crossings
Andes
Ocean / water segments
North Atlantic · South Atlantic · South Pacific

Seasonal turbulence pattern

The oceanic track sees its strongest jet-stream activity in the relevant hemisphere’s winter, when winds aloft are fastest and clear-air turbulence is more frequent. This corridor is most turbulent in the relevant hemisphere’s winter, when the jet stream is strongest and sits closer to the route. Wind flowing over the Andes can generate mountain-wave turbulence that extends hundreds of kilometres downwind - most pronounced in the relevant hemisphere’s winter, when upper-level winds are strongest. At tropical latitudes, convective (thunderstorm-driven) turbulence dominates during regional wet seasons and monsoon cycles, typically worst in the afternoon and evening.

Peak turbulence
Regional wet season (varies by location)
Typically calmest
Dry season

LHRSCL turbulence FAQ

Is the London to Santiago flight usually bumpy?

Most of the 11,653 km route sits in the mixed band with high jet-stream exposure. Historically that means occasional clear-air turbulence at cruise altitude is normal, especially in winter. Mountain-wave effects near the Andes add short bumpy stretches when upper-level winds are strong.

When is the best time to fly LHR to SCL for a smooth flight?

Statistically, Dry season sees the calmest conditions for this corridor. Within any season, morning departures see less convective (thunderstorm-driven) turbulence than afternoon flights.

How long is the flight from LHR to SCL?

Block time is usually around 14h 03m direct, cruising at approximately FL410 (41,000 ft). Actual duration varies with winds - tailwinds can shave 15-30 minutes, headwinds can add 30+ minutes on this westbound sector.

How accurate is Turbcast's forecast for this route?

We use live NOAA Aviation Weather Center pilot reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs and AIRMETs, layered with physics-based Ellrod and Richardson-number calculations from Open-Meteo pressure-level wind and temperature data. If a source is unavailable for a waypoint we show an em dash rather than invent a value.

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