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Route turbulence forecast

London Auckland

Turbulence forecast for flights from London Heathrow Airport (LHR) to Auckland International Airport (AKL).

Tropical convective route
Distance
18,364 km
9,916 nm
Typical duration
21h 51m
Ground-speed estimate
Cruise
FL410
41,000 ft
Jet stream
Moderate - partial jet exposure

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Get a segment-by-segment turbulence forecast for any scheduled flight from LHR to AKL, with live wind and pilot reports.

Live status with real-time delays and cancellations.

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What to expect on this route

Northbound · Great-circle bearing 15°

The route crosses mid-latitudes where the polar jet can influence flight conditions, though exposure is shorter than on genuine long-haul crossings. At tropical latitudes, convective turbulence from thunderstorms is the main driver - pilots generally route around storm cells, but afternoon/evening flights encounter more build-up than morning departures. A large portion of the flight crosses open ocean (North Pacific), where upper-level conditions are generally smoother than over continental terrain.

Ocean / water segments
North Pacific · South Pacific · Tasman Sea

Seasonal turbulence pattern

This corridor is most turbulent in the relevant hemisphere’s winter, when the jet stream is strongest and sits closer to the route. At tropical latitudes, convective (thunderstorm-driven) turbulence dominates during regional wet seasons and monsoon cycles, typically worst in the afternoon and evening.

Peak turbulence
Regional wet season (varies by location)
Typically calmest
Dry season

LHRAKL turbulence FAQ

Is the London to Auckland flight usually bumpy?

Most of the 18,364 km route sits in the mixed band with moderate jet-stream exposure. Historically that means occasional clear-air turbulence at cruise altitude is normal, especially in winter.

When is the best time to fly LHR to AKL for a smooth flight?

Statistically, Dry season sees the calmest conditions for this corridor. Within any season, morning departures see less convective (thunderstorm-driven) turbulence than afternoon flights.

How long is the flight from LHR to AKL?

Block time is usually around 21h 51m direct, cruising at approximately FL410 (41,000 ft). Actual duration varies with winds - tailwinds can shave 15-30 minutes, headwinds can add 30+ minutes on this northbound sector.

How accurate is Turbcast's forecast for this route?

We use live NOAA Aviation Weather Center pilot reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs and AIRMETs, layered with physics-based Ellrod and Richardson-number calculations from Open-Meteo pressure-level wind and temperature data. If a source is unavailable for a waypoint we show an em dash rather than invent a value.

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