Loading...
Fetching the latest data.
Route turbulence forecast
Turbulence forecast for flights from Stockholm-Arlanda Airport (ARN) to Nice-Côte d'Azur Airport (NCE).
Get a segment-by-segment turbulence forecast for any scheduled flight from ARN to NCE, with live wind and pilot reports.
Live status with real-time delays and cancellations.
Southbound · Great-circle bearing -153°
Most of the route sits away from the strongest jet-stream zones, so clear-air turbulence is less common than on long east-west crossings. The route crosses or passes near the Alps, which can generate mountain-wave turbulence downwind when upper-level winds are strong.
Wind flowing over Alps can generate mountain-wave turbulence that extends hundreds of kilometres downwind — most pronounced in winter when upper-level winds are strongest.
Most of the 1,920 km route sits in the subpolar band with low jet-stream exposure. Historically that means most flights cruise in smooth air, with turbulence limited to short sectors near weather systems. Mountain-wave effects near the Alps add short bumpy stretches when upper-level winds are strong.
Statistically, Late spring and early autumn sees the calmest conditions for this corridor. Within any season, morning departures see less convective (thunderstorm-driven) turbulence than afternoon flights.
Block time is usually around 2h 58m direct, cruising at approximately FL370 (37,000 ft). Actual duration varies with winds — tailwinds can shave 15–30 minutes, headwinds can add 30+ minutes on this southbound sector.
We use live NOAA Aviation Weather Center pilot reports (PIREPs), SIGMETs and AIRMETs, layered with physics-based Ellrod and Richardson-number calculations from Open-Meteo pressure-level wind and temperature data. If a source is unavailable for a waypoint we show an em dash rather than invent a value.
Articles
Articles that unpack the factors driving turbulence on this type of route.
Winter over the Atlantic, monsoon over Asia, summer over the US — turbulence has a calendar. Here's the month-by-month pattern for every major flight corridor, and the best months to book a smoother flight.
Read moreUnderstanding Clear Air Turbulence - what causes it, where it occurs, and why it's the hardest type of turbulence to predict. Essential reading for frequent flyers.
Read moreShort answer: almost certainly not. Here's the full engineering, historical, and statistical picture of how modern aircraft handle turbulence — including what the Singapore Airlines SQ321 incident really tells us.
Read more