Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport turbulence forecast
Baltimore, United States
BWI (Baltimore, United States) sits at 39.18°N, 76.67°W, 146 ft elevation — coastal with the Appalachians nearby.
About BWI
Major airport serving Baltimore, United States.
- Climate
- Mid-latitude maritime — variable, wind-driven weather
- Nearby terrain
- Appalachians
- Geography
- Coastal — marine-influenced airmass
What to expect on departures
Computed from BWI's geography and climate
Baltimore sits squarely under the mid-latitude jet, north of which most long-haul corridors run. Clear-air turbulence (CAT) at cruise is the most common source of bumps on departures from here, especially during December–February when the jet is at its strongest. The Appalachians sit upwind of BWI on prevailing flow days, generating mountain-wave turbulence that can extend several hundred kilometres downwind at cruise level. The lee-wave risk is highest when December–February winds at FL300 cross the Appalachians at near-perpendicular angles. Warm-season convection (June–August) drives the dominant turbulence pattern from BWI — afternoon thunderstorm cells are routed around but their wake turbulence and gust fronts can still affect arrivals and departures. BWI's coastal position means departures often transit from the cool marine boundary layer into warmer continental air within minutes of takeoff — a brief but reliable bumpy transition on warm-season afternoons when the sea breeze is set up.
Climbout notes
Standard Instrument Departures (SIDs) often route around terrain; on strong-wind days, low-level turbulence in the lee of the hills is common in the first few thousand feet.
Seasonal pattern
Winter (December–February) brings the strongest jet-stream activity — that's when long-haul departures most often log clear-air turbulence at cruise. Summer (June–August) is peak thunderstorm season — convective turbulence is the dominant warm-season risk. Mountain-wave activity near the Appalachians peaks in the cold season when upper-level winds blow hardest across the range.
- Peak turbulence
- November–February (strong jet)
- Typically calmest
- May–September
Departing from BWI?
Get a live turbulence forecast for any flight out of Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport — departure airport already filled in. Free, no signup.
BWI turbulence FAQ
Is turbulence common on flights from BWI?
Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport is best described as a jet-stream + mountain-wave corridor. Baltimore sits squarely under the mid-latitude jet, north of which most long-haul corridors run.
When is turbulence worst for Baltimore flights?
Winter (December–February) brings the strongest jet-stream activity — that's when long-haul departures most often log clear-air turbulence at cruise. Peak turbulence window: November–February (strong jet). Typically calmest: May–September.
Does the terrain around Baltimore affect turbulence?
Yes — the Appalachians lie close enough to generate mountain-wave turbulence on days with strong upper-level winds. These waves can propagate hundreds of kilometres downwind, so they sometimes affect cruise even after you've left the immediate area.
How accurate are Turbcast forecasts?
We combine live NOAA Aviation Weather Center data (PIREPs, SIGMETs, AIRMETs) with physics-based Ellrod and Richardson-number calculations derived from Open-Meteo pressure-level wind and temperature data. If a source is unavailable for a waypoint we show an em dash rather than invent a number.
Articles
More on Baltimore turbulence
Background reading on the factors that shape your flight.
When Is Flight Turbulence Worst? A Month-by-Month Global Guide
Winter over the Atlantic, monsoon over Asia, summer over the US — turbulence has a calendar. Here's the month-by-month pattern for every major flight corridor, and the best months to book a smoother flight.
Read moreWill Turbulence Crash a Plane? What the Aviation Safety Data Actually Shows
Short answer: almost certainly not. Here's the full engineering, historical, and statistical picture of how modern aircraft handle turbulence — including what the Singapore Airlines SQ321 incident really tells us.
Read moreClear Air Turbulence (CAT): Why Planes Shake in Clear Skies
Understanding Clear Air Turbulence - what causes it, where it occurs, and why it's the hardest type of turbulence to predict. Essential reading for frequent flyers.
Read more